Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 33.97 | $0.999 | $33.94 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 256 |
| $0.994 |
| $254.46 |
| Jun 27, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 498 | $0.994 | $495.03 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.999 | $1.6K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.980 | $9.71 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.18 | $0.959 | $45.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 105.02 | $0.952 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Alisson be in Brazil's Starting 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Jr be in Brazil's Starting 11?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.49 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Alisson be in Brazil's Starting 11?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Alisson be in Brazil's Starting 11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 800 | $0.983 | $786.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 254 | $0.984 | $249.91 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.58 | $0.802 | $26.95 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.58 | $0.767 | $25.77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.979 | $195.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 99 | $0.979 | $96.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 99 | $0.979 | $96.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 23.97 | $0.979 | $23.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 147.56 | $0.969 | $142.94 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No | buy | 50 | $0.962 | $48.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No | buy | 72.78 | $0.962 | $70 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.942 | $9.42 | May 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 30 | $0.941 | $28.23 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.974 | $974 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.970 | $970 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.958 | $95.8 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.958 | $191.6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.953 | $285.9 | May 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.952 | $238 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.991 | $594.6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.945 | $472.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?No | buy | 1K | $0.972 | $972.26 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?No | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?No | buy | 600 | $0.983 | $589.71 | May 18, 2026 |
| Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.940 | $52.64 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 94.55 | $0.984 | $93.04 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.983 | $983.02 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?No | buy | 95 | $0.999 | $94.91 | May 17, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.979 | $1.96K | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.983 | $982.9 | May 16, 2026 |
 Ebola emergency by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.933 | $18.66 | May 15, 2026 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | buy | 97 | $0.910 | $88.27 | May 15, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?Down | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | May 15, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?No | buy | 138.49 | $0.973 | $134.7 | May 14, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 799.99 | $0.925 | $739.99 | May 14, 2026 |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?No | buy | 900 | $0.981 | $882.9 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.970 | $679 | May 14, 2026 |