Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 142.47 | $0.872 | $118.96 | -$5.24 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.936 |
| $94.25 |
| +$0.65 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $84.5 | +$3.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 80 | $0.743 | $61.96 | +$2.51 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 64.2 | $0.894 | $60.67 | +$3.27 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 67.48 | $0.850 | $58.37 | +$1.01 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $46.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.16 | $0.760 | $44.39 | +$6.27 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.700 | $35.4 | +$7.4 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | Yes | 39.99 | $0.830 | $31.39 | -$1.8 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.797 | $29.05 | -$26.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.660 | $29.03 | -$3.98 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 49.99 | $0.510 | $23.24 | -$2.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 150 | $0.756 | $20.1 | -$93.35 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 22.09 | $0.770 | $19.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | No | 40 | $0.910 | $19.2 | -$17.2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 70 | $0.680 | $16.45 | -$31.15 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.900 | $11.2 | -$6.8 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | No | 11.35 | $0.881 | $11.16 | +$1.16 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.500 | $4.35 | -$10.65 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.120 | $2.9 | -$3.1 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $2.12 | -$7.88 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.983 |
| $98.3 |
| 13d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 50 | $0.945 | $47.25 | 14d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 76.8 | $0.957 | $73.5 | 14d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?Up | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 26.21 | $0.714 | $18.71 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.720 | $19.44 | 20d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 18?Up | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 23d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 18?Up | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 165.99 | $0.883 | $146.57 | 24d ago |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Yes | buy | 37.49 | $0.590 | $22.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.130 | $10.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.075 | $1.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?Down | buy | 12.64 | $0.700 | $8.85 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?Up | buy | 45 | $0.470 | $21.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.008 | $0.13 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?Down | buy | 9 | $0.250 | $2.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | buy | 26.67 | $0.180 | $4.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 6.73 | $0.600 | $4.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Up | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20 | $0.646 | $12.92 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.390 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 31.15 | $0.642 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.55 | $0.425 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.780 | $18.79 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.615 | $12.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 10?Down | buy | 14.99 | $0.630 | $9.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Up | buy | 13 | $0.490 | $6.37 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 33.28 | $0.601 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.67 | $0.326 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |