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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3K | $0.332 | $1.07K | +$73.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.94K | $0.380 | $1.12K | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 980.4 |
| $0.510 |
| $524.51 |
| +$24.51 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 527.7 | $0.379 | $265.17 | +$65.17 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 962.73 | $0.208 | $139.12 | -$60.88 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 138.89 | $0.720 | $118.06 | +$18.06 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 151.52 | $0.660 | $109.09 | +$9.09 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 123.46 | $0.810 | $108.02 | +$8.02 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $77.5 | -$5.5 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.790 | $67 | -$12 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.860 | $43.6 | -$56.4 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 725.45 | $0.069 | $28.66 | -$21.34 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 625 | $0.160 | $20.94 | -$79.06 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $14.58 | +$6.58 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.560 | $11.61 | -$88.39 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.830 |
| $83 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.332 | $332 | 7d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.332 | $332 | 7d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.332 | $332 | 7d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 725.45 | $0.069 | $50 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.92K | $0.510 | $2K | 9d ago |
 Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 130.09 | $0.769 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 483.09 | $0.207 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 263.85 | $0.379 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes | buy | 533.09 | $0.152 | $81 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes | buy | 514.76 | $0.035 | $18 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 118.14 | $0.846 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 479.64 | $0.208 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 263.85 | $0.379 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.49 | $0.727 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 188.32 | $0.531 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 103.52 | $0.966 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 223.46 | $0.895 | $200 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?Up | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.870 | $103.56 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 961.54 | $0.520 | $500 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.550 | $200 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 690.69 | $0.080 | $55.26 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 416.12 | $0.012 | $4.99 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.564 | $1.2K | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.13K | $0.820 | $1.74K | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?No | sell | 343.31 | $0.963 | $330.58 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?No | sell | 254.07 | $0.968 | $245.94 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 18?Up | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 18?Down | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on November 18?Up | buy | 75.87 | $0.659 | $50 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.470 | $1K | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 111.43 | $0.897 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 97.61 | $0.205 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.990 | $120.73 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.727 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Databricks IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |