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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | sell | 510 | $0.998 | $508.98 | Nov 13, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 3.02 |
| $0.993 |
| $3 |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 515.18 | $0.999 | $514.66 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Jimmy Fallon cancelled by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 5, 2025 |
OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Jony Ive join Meta before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before July?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.995 | $3.1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Another crypto hack over $1b before April?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.990 | $3.03 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.965 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Hooters file for bankruptcy before June?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Another crypto hack over $1b before April?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Inter Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 before March?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Megaquake in February?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Gustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will 'Fortnight' win Song of the Year?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.975 | $29.79 | Oct 19, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Aug 1, 2024 |
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Aug 1, 2024 |
Will Elizabeth Warren be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Aug 1, 2024 |