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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $2.33 | -$2.67 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 294.98 | $0.519 | $153 | Jan 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 660 |
| $0.250 |
| $165 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 314.18 | $0.490 | $153.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 688.88 | $0.240 | $165.33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.180 | $7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 209.3 | $0.430 | $90 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 94.44 | $0.180 | $17 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.998 | $10.39 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 22.7 | $0.200 | $4.54 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.250 | $4.55 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.200 | $12.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.68 | $0.190 | $3.74 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.016 | $30 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.18 | $0.107 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.716 | $13.77 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 28.77 | $0.450 | $12.95 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.132 | $7.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.360 | $1.44 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.610 | $5.23 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.34 | $0.060 | $0.92 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.540 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.220 | $15 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 96.15 | $0.058 | $5.58 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.470 | $2.09 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.810 | $7.27 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.480 | $8.88 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.052 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 52.74 | $0.945 | $49.84 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 21.64 | $0.925 | $20.02 | Nov 1, 2025 |