Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.380 | $0.86 | -$4.14 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 423.73 | $0.118 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.46 |
| $0.946 |
| $0.04 |
| -$7.96 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.440 |
| $10 |
| Mar 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.946 | $8 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 35.89 | $0.540 | $19.38 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 46.75 | $0.211 | $9.86 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | sell | 79.18 | $0.142 | $11.23 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 78.37 | $0.280 | $21.94 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 44.07 | $0.440 | $19.39 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.284 | $14.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.460 | $12.77 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 225.69 | $0.930 | $209.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 212.44 | $0.988 | $209.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 207.18 | $0.980 | $203.04 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 171.04 | $0.998 | $170.7 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.3 | $0.579 | $50 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 3.47K | $0.997 | $3.46K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.47K | $0.998 | $3.47K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 14?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 3.51K | $0.997 | $3.5K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.51K | $0.998 | $3.5K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 3.51K | $0.997 | $3.5K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.51K | $0.998 | $3.5K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |