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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 847.46 | $0.590 | $377.12 | -$122.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 847.46 | $0.590 | $500 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.300 |
| $145 |
| -$155 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.602 | $129.49 | -$1.07K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.361 | $50.23 | -$353.18 |
| buy |
| 662.34 |
| $0.770 |
| $510 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 675.68 | $0.740 | $500 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.036 | $40 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.300 | $300 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 656.22 | $0.010 | $6.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 330.57 | $0.151 | $50 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 325.65 | $0.154 | $50 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.900 | $1.4K | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.021 | $30 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 207.12 | $0.966 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 583.33 | $0.120 | $70 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.964 | $1.5K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 289.81 | $0.995 | $288.36 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 289.81 | $0.690 | $199.97 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.900 | $1K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 148.85 | $0.269 | $40 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 602.1 | $0.498 | $300 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.026 | $1.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.350 | $353.41 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.701 | $1K | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 157.12 | $0.636 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 535.71 | $0.560 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 752.83 | $0.398 | $300 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 630.5 | $0.159 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 510.51 | $0.392 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 2.37K | $0.690 | $1.64K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 819.67 | $0.610 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 106.25 | $0.471 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 636.76 | $0.628 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.960 | $1.23K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.33K | $0.954 | $2.22K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 634.99 | $0.157 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 711.9 | $0.702 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 645.16 | $0.980 | $632.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 1.03K | $0.779 | $800 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 635.68 | $0.787 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.310 | $200 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 681.39 | $0.044 | $30 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.81 | $0.170 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.284 | $660 | Feb 4, 2026 |