Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 92.3 | $0.401 | $47.54 | +$10.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.610 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| No |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $5.09 |
| +$4.09 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 161.02 | $0.073 | $5.07 | -$6.66 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.7 | $0.575 | $4.65 | -$0.35 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 10.5 | $0.190 | $4.41 | +$2.41 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20.68 | $0.338 | $3.46 | -$3.54 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2.3 | +$0.3 |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 4.12 | $0.511 | $1.94 | -$0.17 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 158.31 | $0.085 | $1.19 | -$12.31 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $0.94 | -$1.06 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.68 | -$1.32 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 31.11 | $0.129 | $0.56 | -$3.44 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 584.55 | $0.014 | $0.29 | -$8.17 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.13 | -$1.87 |
| buy |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $1 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 4 | $0.920 | $3.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.810 | $2.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.550 | $2.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 4.28 | $0.110 | $0.47 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 52.77 | $0.069 | $3.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.150 | $0.83 | Jun 28, 2026 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.152 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |