Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.961 | $1.06 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.25 |
| $0.955 |
| $1.19 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.930 | $1.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.951 | $1.23 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.996 | $1.22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.997 | $1.28 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.957 | $1.43 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.980 | $1.44 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.968 | $1.21 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.983 | $1.27 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.958 | $1.43 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.977 | $1.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.995 | $1.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.986 | $1.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.940 | $1.21 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.740 | $15.09 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.820 | $12.48 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.55 | $0.860 | $10.79 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.73K | $0.001 | $10.73 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.16K | $0.001 | $11.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.964 | $1.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.994 | $1.32 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.996 | $1.24 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.942 | $1.28 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.986 | $1.11 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.994 | $1.26 | May 21, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.958 | $1.17 | May 21, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.998 | $1.22 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.995 | $1.33 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.997 | $1.45 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.993 | $1.54 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.5K | $0.001 | $11.5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.928 | $1.11 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.930 | $1.23 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.982 | $1.32 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.985 | $1.59 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.981 | $4.04 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.986 | $4.07 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.940 | $1.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.997 | $1.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.960 | $1.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.944 | $1.27 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.924 | $1.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.979 | $1.15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.950 | $1.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |