Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 59.66 | $0.882 | $51.61 | -$1.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 19.57 | $0.950 | $18.59 | 7m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 542.55 |
| $0.112 |
| $51.54 |
| -$9.02 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 59.27 | $0.830 | $49.49 | +$0.3 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 316.66 | $0.210 | $47.5 | -$19 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 47.6 | $0.940 | $44.51 | -$0.24 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 180.76 | $0.340 | $38.86 | -$22.68 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 233.78 | $0.305 | $37.4 | -$34 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 39.35 | $0.949 | $37.19 | -$0.17 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 40 | $0.915 | $36.2 | -$0.4 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 43.13 | $0.567 | $28.9 | +$4.44 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.300 | $26.4 | +$14.4 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 26.4 | $0.940 | $25.96 | +$1.15 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 85.14 | $0.297 | $24.26 | -$0.99 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 105.35 | $0.289 | $23.7 | -$6.8 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 23.34 | $0.880 | $19.96 | -$0.58 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 26.25 | $0.636 | $19.29 | +$2.58 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.78 | $0.940 | $18.49 | -$0.1 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 21.21 | $0.850 | $17.82 | -$0.21 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 28.27 | $0.414 | $16.82 | +$5.11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 48.56 | $0.320 | $16.75 | +$1.21 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 19.66 | $0.590 | $16.22 | +$4.62 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 18.42 | $0.900 | $16.12 | -$0.46 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | Yes | 17.83 | $0.880 | $15.51 | -$0.18 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 155.26 | $0.080 | $13.2 | +$0.85 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23? | No | 10.11 | $0.829 | $8.64 | +$0.26 |
| buy |
| 19.78 |
| $0.948 |
| $18.76 |
| 8m ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 8m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 18.03 | $0.860 | $15.51 | 35m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8.34 | $0.840 | $7.01 | 1h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.870 | $4.62 | 1h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250.27 | $0.090 | $22.52 | 8h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 29.61 | $0.220 | $6.51 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.250 | $2.2 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.290 | $1.47 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.310 | $2.3 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.310 | $2.4 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.310 | $2.5 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.310 | $2.6 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 16.58 | $0.190 | $3.15 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 12.29 | $0.590 | $7.25 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.58 | $0.150 | $2.49 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?No | sell | 14.37 | $0.150 | $2.16 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6.03 | $0.370 | $2.23 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?No | buy | 14.37 | $0.210 | $3.02 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.440 | $2.38 | 12h ago |
| NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.780 | $3.99 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.450 | $3.65 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 14h ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.54 | $0.040 | $0.62 | 15h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 5.73 | $0.150 | $0.86 | 15h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 8.12 | $0.140 | $1.14 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.42 | $0.430 | $3.19 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.470 | $2.88 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 15.53 | $0.440 | $6.83 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.11 | $0.380 | $7.26 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 18.54 | $0.550 | $10.2 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 18.9 | $0.550 | $10.4 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 17.77 | $0.450 | $8 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.410 | $2.34 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 12.87 | $0.420 | $5.41 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.420 | $3.45 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 11.77 | $0.420 | $4.94 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.530 | $6.1 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.520 | $4.11 | 16h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.830 | $7.76 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.557 | $8.58 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.54 | $0.220 | $2.1 | 17h ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.94 | $0.040 | $1.32 | 19h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.390 | $3.4 | 21h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.460 | $3.5 | 21h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6.28 | $0.290 | $1.82 | 21h ago |