Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 3.84 |
| $0.910 |
| $3.49 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.216 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
No Cut OctoberYes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump call Vladimir Putin “crazy” on Friday?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Nancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 31, 2025 |
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Mercedes have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before June?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Mercedes have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 56.72 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Michigan State vs. AuburnMichigan State | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Alabama vs. DukeAlabama | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 46m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Barron Trump public statement before July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.297 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Jumper airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Any redactions in JFK files?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 15, 2025 |