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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.74 | $0.346 | $15.48 | +$9.69 |
Ben Pasternak jailed? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.51 | $0.400 | $3.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
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| No |
| 4.86 |
| $0.659 |
| $4.77 |
| +$1.57 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 4.69 | $0.565 | $4.25 | +$1.6 |
Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 2.87 | $0.709 | $2.71 | +$0.68 |
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | No | 3.72 | $0.214 | $2.62 | +$1.83 |
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | No | 2.2 | $0.620 | $1.73 | +$0.37 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 0.71 | $0.791 | $0.63 | +$0.07 |
Ramp IPO before 2027? | No | 0.49 | $0.864 | $0.46 | +$0.03 |
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $0.969 | $0.36 | +$0.01 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 0.28 | $0.741 | $0.25 | +$0.05 |
| sell |
| 9.79 |
| $0.991 |
| $9.7 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.41 | $0.996 | $7.38 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | sell | 10.65 | $0.780 | $8.31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 16.42 | $0.800 | $13.14 | Jun 3, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.890 | $2.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.45 | $0.290 | $4.19 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.920 | $2.41 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.920 | $0.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.780 | $2.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.780 | $5.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.780 | $1.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.820 | $0.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.800 | $0.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.810 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.810 | $2.31 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.800 | $4.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.920 | $2.19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.960 | $9.39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.890 | $0.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.890 | $0.05 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.890 | $0.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.890 | $0.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.890 | $0.53 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.890 | $0.17 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.87 | $0.890 | $0.77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.890 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.890 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.890 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.890 | $0.04 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.890 | $0.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.920 | $5.27 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.860 | $4.34 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.840 | $4.25 | May 31, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.900 | $6.39 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.780 | $4.02 | May 31, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.890 | $0.17 | May 31, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.890 | $0.13 | May 31, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.38 | $0.890 | $6.57 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.760 | $0.71 | May 31, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.920 | $2.03 | May 31, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.920 | $1.35 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.760 | $0.6 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.770 | $4.86 | May 30, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.737 | $5.82 | May 30, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.900 | $1.34 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.860 | $4.11 | May 30, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?No | sell | 10.1 | $0.973 | $9.83 | May 30, 2026 |