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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 303.34 | $0.494 | $238.12 | +$88.12 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.83 | $0.458 | $10 | 2d ago |
| No |
| 266.5 |
| $0.544 |
| $207.87 |
| +$62.87 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 186.9 | $0.742 | $183.91 | +$45.31 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 185.52 | $0.539 | $156.76 | +$56.76 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 137.77 | $0.588 | $116.41 | +$35.41 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 156.14 | $0.640 | $91.34 | -$8.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 84.84 | $0.825 | $82.93 | +$12.93 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 119.61 | $0.543 | $81.93 | +$16.93 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 96.64 | $0.724 | $75.86 | +$5.86 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 83.33 | $0.840 | $75.41 | +$5.41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 76.86 | $0.781 | $70.33 | +$10.33 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 68.39 | $0.892 | $67.88 | +$6.88 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 142.01 | $0.493 | $64.61 | -$5.39 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 67.55 | $0.740 | $53.71 | +$3.71 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 118.73 | $0.421 | $49.69 | -$0.31 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 51.21 | $0.840 | $44.81 | +$1.81 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 36.17 | $0.829 | $34.18 | +$4.18 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 34.74 | $0.864 | $33.73 | +$3.73 |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 62.11 | $0.354 | $26.08 | +$4.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 26.15 | $0.765 | $23.67 | +$3.67 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 22.25 | $0.899 | $22.19 | +$2.19 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 24.59 | $0.813 | $21.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 23.82 | $0.840 | $20.01 | +$0.01 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.750 | $19.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 61.72 | $0.356 | $16.97 | -$5.03 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 21.83 |
| $0.458 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.81 | $0.403 | $10 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 13.14 | $0.761 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.022 | $0.05 | 17d ago |