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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.42 | +$0.42 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 11.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $10.33 |
| +$0.33 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 27.78 | $0.360 | $9.86 | -$0.14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.85 | +$0.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 200 | $0.025 | $4.6 | -$0.4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $4.28 | -$0.72 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 15.63 | $0.320 | $4.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $4.01 | -$0.99 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 9.8 | $0.510 | $3.92 | -$1.08 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 11.9 | $0.420 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
| buy |
| 11.9 |
| $0.420 |
| $5 |
| 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 6d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.972 | $6.31 | 7d ago |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.991 | $5.83 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.999 | $6.01 | 7d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.910 | $3.62 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 PlayoffsGround Zero | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupHanwha Life Esports Challengers | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Falcons | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DNatus Vincere | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.779 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin BlanchMark Lajal | buy | 3.65 | $0.548 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus MondayJohannus Monday | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs AND Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovic | buy | 6.69 | $0.737 | $4.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "White Chicks" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.828 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierMOUZ | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Generali Open (Doubles): Romboli/Smith vs Neumayer/SchwaerzlerRomboli/Smith | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 ITF Ollersbach: Kalin Ivanovski vs Aleksander ChaykaKalin Ivanovski | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 75.87 | $0.066 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.870 | $3.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-07-19? | buy | 7.15 | $0.688 | $4.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees AND ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand | buy | 6.9 | $0.713 | $4.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |