Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Yes | buy | 57.04 | $0.054 | $3.08 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.385 |
| $3.08 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.63 | $0.378 | $7.42 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.62 | $0.342 | $5 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.396 | $4 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.826 | $17.69 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "Racist" during the debate?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.180 | $0.6 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Walz and Vance shake hands at first debate?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.080 | $0.3 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Cat" during the debate?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "border" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Unrealized" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Prosecutor" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Wall" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "weird "or "weirdo" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNN interview?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.044 | $0.4 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "border czar" during Michigan town hall?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will J.D. Vance say "riot" during Michigan rally?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Will J.D. Vance say "tampon" during Michigan rally?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 No Vance vs. Walz debates before election?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.055 | $2 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.110 | $0.5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Weird" or "Weirdo" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?No | buy | 3 | $0.050 | $0.15 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.060 | $0.5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Protestor invades stage at DNC?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.498 | $5 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Tuesday?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.130 | $0.7 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Venn diagram" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mixed-race" in August?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.160 | $0.9 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead by 0-0.4 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.041 | $0.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |