Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 908.73 | $0.110 | $99.96 | Feb 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 863.05 |
| $0.120 |
| $103.15 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.55K | $0.044 | $113.15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 487.37 | $0.099 | $48.22 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.36K | $0.020 | $48.22 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1K | $0.031 | $159.84 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.017 | $40 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.008 | $16.84 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?No | buy | 171.25 | $0.008 | $1.37 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | sell | 210.56 | $0.080 | $16.84 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?No | sell | 13.53 | $0.840 | $11.37 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?No | buy | 13.53 | $0.880 | $11.91 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | buy | 95.39 | $0.275 | $26.19 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes | sell | 31.17 | $0.840 | $26.18 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?Yes | buy | 641 | $0.400 | $256.4 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes | buy | 31.18 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes | sell | 264.04 | $0.990 | $261.4 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | buy | 210.57 | $0.300 | $63.17 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.083 | $50 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Yes | buy | 264.05 | $0.730 | $192.68 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $121K July 28–August 3?No | sell | 193.65 | $0.995 | $192.68 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $121K July 28–August 3?No | buy | 193.65 | $0.920 | $178.16 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | sell | 178.51 | $0.998 | $178.15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 178.52 | $0.510 | $91.12 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes | sell | 449.84 | $0.203 | $91.12 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes | buy | 449.84 | $0.379 | $170.49 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.025 | $6 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | sell | 218.36 | $0.805 | $175.81 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 218.37 | $0.490 | $107 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3.45K | $0.002 | $6.9 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 57.6 | $0.110 | $6.34 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | sell | 3.28K | $0.002 | $6.56 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 57.6 | $0.150 | $8.64 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Yes | buy | 407.41 | $0.135 | $55 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.038 | $50 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 601.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | sell | 618.57 | $0.037 | $23 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.026 | $49.12 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Yes | sell | 540.21 | $0.091 | $49.11 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.024 | $32.33 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | sell | 606.67 | $0.053 | $32.33 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Yes | buy | 540.22 | $0.093 | $50.24 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.009 | $11 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 8.75K | $0.007 | $61.24 | Jun 23, 2025 |