Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20.11 | +$0.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | 10d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 17.54 |
| $0.570 |
| $13.07 |
| +$3.07 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.43 | $0.875 | $11.36 | +$1.36 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 12.53 | $0.798 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.55 | $0.948 | $9.95 | -$0.05 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $9.95 | -$0.05 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.88 | $0.900 | $8.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 8.9 | $0.898 | $7.97 | -$0.03 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | $0 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.650 | $4.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $4.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.860 | $4.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 5.75 | $0.870 | $4.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.640 | $4.02 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 11.63 |
| $0.860 |
| $10 |
| 10d ago |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.750 | $3.51 | 10d ago |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.910 | $5.22 | 10d ago |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 10.87 | $0.951 | $10.34 | 27d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.950 | $5.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.750 | $3.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 10.43 | $0.969 | $10.11 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.987 | $5.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.977 | $10.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?Down | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.798 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.984 | $10.69 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 8.14 | $0.654 | $5.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.614 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |