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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.520 | $0.04 | -$0.21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupNongshim Esports Academy | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 73.7 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.44 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.040 | $0.64 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.020 | $0.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.948 | $0.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.032 | $0.78 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Jul 2, 2026 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.082 | $0.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 29.87 | $0.059 | $1.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 37.14 | $0.120 | $4.46 | Jul 2, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 9.98 | $0.420 | $4.19 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 6.44 | $0.678 | $4.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.06 | $0.218 | $5.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 51.66 | $0.103 | $5.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.940 | $7.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.250 | $9.25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.74 | $0.570 | $10.68 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 150.88 | $0.122 | $18.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.560 | $36.96 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.834 | $13.34 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.988 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.989 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.980 | $1.14 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.910 | $1.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.768 | $3.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.550 | $3.87 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.830 | $6.33 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.790 | $11.85 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 66 | $0.900 | $59.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |