Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 610.71 | $0.040 | $24.43 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 627.93 |
| $0.959 |
| $602.18 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 59.17 | $0.959 | $56.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 610.71 | $0.056 | $34 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 687.1 | $0.946 | $650 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 645.16 | $0.044 | $28.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 701.03 | $0.951 | $666.8 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.031 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 701.03 | $0.970 | $680 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1.19K | $0.574 | $684.57 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.629 | $750 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 632.35 | $0.062 | $39.21 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 722.41 | $0.974 | $703.63 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 632.35 | $0.068 | $43 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 722.42 | $0.969 | $700 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 584.52 | $0.052 | $30.55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 760.86 | $0.910 | $692.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 584.52 | $0.038 | $22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 760.87 | $0.920 | $700 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 739.95 | $0.962 | $711.83 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 660.47 | $0.078 | $51.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 660.47 | $0.073 | $48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 739.96 | $0.946 | $700 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 658.66 | $0.054 | $35.86 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 730.59 | $0.943 | $689.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 658.67 | $0.043 | $28 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 730.6 | $0.958 | $700 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.014 | $10.77 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 670.17 | $0.973 | $652.08 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 46.3 | $0.973 | $45.05 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 716.48 | $0.977 | $700 | May 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | sell | 767.04 | $0.972 | $745.56 | May 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 577.31 | $0.071 | $40.99 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 767.05 | $0.880 | $675 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 577.32 | $0.097 | $56 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.150 | $120 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 549.45 | $0.915 | $502.96 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.170 | $136 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 549.45 | $0.910 | $500 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 744.11 | $0.130 | $96.73 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | May 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 744.12 | $0.170 | $126.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 722.72 | $0.070 | $50.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 554.21 | $0.890 | $493.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 722.73 | $0.110 | $79.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 554.22 | $0.830 | $460 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 271.11 | $0.030 | $8.13 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 675.68 | $0.870 | $587.84 | Apr 13, 2026 |