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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | sell | 218.54 | $0.001 | $0.22 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 301.49 |
| $0.698 |
| $210.59 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 37.33 | $0.750 | $28 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 238.38 | $0.839 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 61.72 | $0.048 | $2.98 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.353 | $17.65 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 346.75 | $0.058 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 66.44 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 104.12 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 63.12 | $0.158 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.162 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on March 3?Up | buy | 264.26 | $0.038 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 807.14 | $0.025 | $19.86 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 218.55 | $0.229 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.072 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 807.14 | $0.062 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 407.4 | $0.960 | $391.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 407.41 | $0.918 | $374 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 374.78 | $0.230 | $86.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.051 | $53.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 684.67 | $0.015 | $10.27 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.021 | $40 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 721.13 | $0.055 | $40 | Feb 23, 2026 |