Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.824 | $42.78 | +$1.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.824 | $41.2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 51 |
| $0.179 |
| $9.13 |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.177 | $23.54 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionNo | sell | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.069 | $3.47 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.045 | $2.26 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionNo | buy | 121 | $0.110 | $13.31 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionNo | buy | 219 | $0.120 | $26.28 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionNo | buy | 816 | $0.120 | $97.92 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.090 | $16.74 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.901 | $167.56 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.011 | $1.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.138 | $25.38 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.698 | $128.47 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.016 | $2.94 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.133 | $24.48 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.050 | $9.1 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.010 | $1.82 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 182 | $0.667 | $121.48 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.253 | $46.12 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.008 | $1.44 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.941 | $1.8 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.068 | $3.51 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.061 | $10.47 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.200 | $34.6 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.330 | $57.09 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.190 | $32.87 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.090 | $15.57 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots?Yes | buy | 121.01 | $0.066 | $8.01 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.022 | $3.81 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 20 or more ballots?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.030 | $5.27 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.991 | $3.82 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.210 | $36.33 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.110 | $19.03 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.058 | $10.01 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?No | buy | 173 | $0.600 | $103.8 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 172.98 | $0.999 | $172.81 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 172.81 | $0.987 | $170.56 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 56.17K | $0.003 | $168.51 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 298.77 | $0.564 | $168.51 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 298.78 | $0.590 | $176.28 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 208.49 | $0.357 | $74.43 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?No | sell | 101.95 | $0.999 | $101.85 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?No | buy | 101.95 | $0.999 | $101.85 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50.93K | $0.002 | $101.85 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win North Dakota Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Oct 7, 2024 |