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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.792 | $2 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $20 |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | sell | 11.31 | $0.869 | $9.83 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 16.19 | $0.247 | $4 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down in 2024?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will "preexisting condition" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "deny", "defend", and "depose" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Hegseth say "Trump" 10 or more times?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Hegseth say "Alcohol" during the interview?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.940 | $8.48 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.470 | $4.94 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Hegseth say "Drunk" during the interview?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Hegseth say "Ukraine" during the interview?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Hegseth say "Witch hunt" during the interview?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Sid Miller for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.208 | $2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.210 | $0.54 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.815 | $1 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 11.31 | $0.442 | $5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |