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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 710 | $0.002 | $1.42 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 690 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.69 |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands?Yes | sell | 725.85 | $0.001 | $0.73 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.003 | $5.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands?Yes | buy | 725.86 | $0.034 | $25 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?Yes | buy | 690.01 | $0.036 | $25 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 No airdrop in 2025?Yes | sell | 150.93 | $0.365 | $55.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 150.93 | $0.377 | $56.9 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes | buy | 968.7 | $0.013 | $12.48 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes | buy | 64.22 | $0.090 | $5.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.005 | $5.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes | buy | 236.84 | $0.190 | $45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.014 | $15 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.14K | $0.014 | $29.99 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 194 | $0.010 | $1.94 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | sell | 487.3 | $0.004 | $1.95 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 551.83 | $0.016 | $9.04 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.001 | $3.33 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 356.45 | $0.039 | $14 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | sell | 2.82K | $0.007 | $19.7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?Yes | buy | 502.38 | $0.080 | $40.19 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.012 | $20 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.017 | $44 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.037 | $47.05 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 130.86 | $0.070 | $9.16 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.044 | $55.72 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | sell | 2.82K | $0.020 | $55.02 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.050 | $73 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.062 | $71.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 896.9 | $0.049 | $44 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.001 | $1.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.001 | $1.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.001 | $1.52 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.003 | $7.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 538.46 | $0.024 | $12.92 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.012 | $9.23 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.06K | $0.005 | $11.06 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 3.27K | $0.104 | $340.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.95K | $0.086 | $340.99 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 5.9K | $0.001 | $5.9 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?Yes | sell | 94.66 | $0.060 | $5.68 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.33 | $0.293 | $8 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?Yes | buy | 67.33 | $0.297 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.022 | $27.93 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 577.61 | $0.087 | $50 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.95K | $0.190 | $750 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.040 | $50 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 573.66 | $0.087 | $50 | Dec 25, 2025 |