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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August? | No | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.35 | -$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | 8d ago |
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| No |
| 3 |
| $0.880 |
| $2.64 |
| $0 |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 525 | $0.002 | $0.79 | -$0.26 |
| buy |
| 525 |
| $0.002 |
| $1.05 |
| 8d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.880 | $2.64 | 8d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.998 | $14.1 | 13d ago |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.14 | $0.997 | $14.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.002 | $1.05 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 28.07 | $0.997 | $28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 71.14 | $0.998 | $71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?Yes | buy | 68.07 | $0.999 | $68 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.878 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.854 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.858 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 23?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?Yes | buy | 97.08 | $0.999 | $96.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 58.57 | $0.970 | $56.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?No | buy | 96.08 | $0.999 | $95.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |