Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 632.93 | $0.158 | $148.74 | +$48.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 80 |
| $0.810 |
| $73.6 |
| +$8.8 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 80 | $0.730 | $63.24 | +$4.84 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 312.95 | $0.191 | $57.9 | -$1.9 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | Yes | 120 | $0.270 | $49.8 | +$17.4 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 119 | $0.153 | $47.9 | +$29.67 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 56.4 | $0.286 | $45.88 | +$29.75 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 190 | $0.260 | $42.75 | -$6.65 |
 Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? | Yes | 260 | $0.176 | $39 | -$6.8 |
 Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | No | 400 | $0.089 | $34 | -$1.69 |
 Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 70 | $0.390 | $32.9 | +$5.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat? | No | 177.29 | $0.172 | $32.8 | +$2.28 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | No | 66.92 | $0.517 | $26.94 | -$7.66 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | $0.540 | $26.36 | -$6.74 |
 Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | Yes | 150 | $0.280 | $24.75 | -$17.25 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | Yes | 33.07 | $0.346 | $23.97 | +$12.52 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | No | 189.11 | $0.066 | $22.98 | +$10.5 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 69.95 | $0.213 | $22.73 | +$7.84 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? | Yes | 69.35 | $0.250 | $20.81 | +$3.48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat? | No | 115.21 | $0.189 | $20.16 | -$1.63 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 70 | $0.270 | $20.02 | +$1.12 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 48.22 | $0.180 | $19.53 | +$10.85 |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | No | 147.58 | $0.120 | $18.45 | +$0.74 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | Yes | 190 | $0.170 | $18.05 | -$14.25 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 115.21 | $0.297 | $17.28 | -$16.95 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.180 |
| $4.5 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.82 | $0.040 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
 Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 102.12 | $0.009 | $0.95 | 4d ago |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.810 | $64.8 | 10d ago |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | buy | 85.18 | $0.003 | $0.22 | 10d ago |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | buy | 70 | $0.390 | $27.3 | 10d ago |
 Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 82.09 | $0.152 | $12.49 | 10d ago |
 Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 65 | $0.090 | $5.85 | 10d ago |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?No | buy | 189.11 | $0.066 | $12.48 | 10d ago |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 22.23 | $0.200 | $4.45 | 10d ago |
| Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?No | buy | 400 | $0.089 | $35.69 | 10d ago |
 Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 440.76 | $0.020 | $8.69 | 10d ago |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | buy | 93.77 | $0.260 | $24.38 | 17d ago |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.036 | $1.3 | 17d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.003 | $3.68 | 17d ago |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.270 | $6.21 | 17d ago |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27.18 | $0.880 | $23.92 | 19d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 64.67 | $0.120 | $7.76 | 24d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 46.14 | $0.099 | $4.55 | 24d ago |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 251.95 | $0.107 | $26.87 | 24d ago |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 147.58 | $0.120 | $17.71 | 24d ago |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.110 | $2.26 | 24d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.300 | $1.55 | 24d ago |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | buy | 26.51 | $0.410 | $10.87 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.140 | $13.58 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 132.95 | $0.301 | $40 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?No | buy | 66.92 | $0.517 | $34.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?Yes | buy | 103.13 | $0.198 | $20.44 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 632.93 | $0.158 | $100 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Jacy Sheldon have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.18 | $0.650 | $17.67 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes | buy | 169.88 | $0.170 | $28.88 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 69.12 | $0.250 | $17.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 61.3 | $0.540 | $33.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 81.83 | $0.300 | $24.55 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?No | buy | 115.21 | $0.189 | $21.79 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?No | buy | 120.35 | $0.170 | $20.46 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.22 | $0.180 | $8.68 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?Yes | buy | 0.98 | $0.032 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | buy | 42.93 | $0.140 | $6.01 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Ben Olsen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 53.44 | $0.006 | $0.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | buy | 77.36 | $0.670 | $51.83 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 265.27 | $0.150 | $39.79 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 34.17 | $0.059 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |