Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.936 | $1.95 | 14d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 4.21 |
| $0.934 |
| $3.93 |
| 14d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | 14d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.989 | $2.04 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.959 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $720b on June 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Team Falcons qualify to the CS Asia Championships 2026 playoffs?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |