Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10.88 | $0.367 | $9.47 | +$5.47 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 11.98 |
| $0.167 |
| $9.39 |
| +$7.39 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $6.58 | +$4.58 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.186 | $4.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3.84 | +$0.84 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $3.83 | -$0.18 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.260 | $3.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September? | Yes | 8.28 | $0.362 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.09 | $0.324 | $2.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | Yes | 7.57 | $0.264 | $2.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 2.6 | $0.385 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $160 end of September? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 10.53 |
| $0.190 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.048 | $0.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.961 | $13.72 | 2d ago |
| Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.83% in September?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.186 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.186 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 4d ago |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.450 | $2.33 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 18.74 | $0.994 | $18.63 | 6d ago |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $160 end of September?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.324 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.365 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.385 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.747 | $7 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 11.98 | $0.167 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.747 | $7 | 8d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.812 | $3.22 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | sell | 30.9 | $0.929 | $28.71 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.650 | $1.42 | 10d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?No | sell | 16.03 | $0.970 | $15.55 | 10d ago |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?No | buy | 16.04 | $0.873 | $14 | 12d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 24-30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Yes | buy | 9.95 | $0.201 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.845 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 12d ago |
 Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 17d ago |