Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 20.12 | $0.845 | $13.18 | -$3.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 25.26 |
| $0.554 |
| $12.63 |
| -$1.37 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $6.35 | -$3.65 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 238.1 | $0.021 | $4.64 | -$0.36 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 68.57 | $0.160 | $4.46 | -$6.51 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $2.13 | -$2.88 |
| sell |
| 10.86 |
| $0.460 |
| $5 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Colts vs. PatriotsColts | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.233 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.870 | $20.71 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 33.95 | $0.975 | $33.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes | buy | 21.73 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 11.31 | $0.960 | $10.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 15.08 | $0.943 | $14.22 | May 28, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 60.34 | $0.928 | $56 | May 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 68.56 | $0.160 | $10.97 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.27 | $0.410 | $10.77 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.015 | $0.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.27 | $0.370 | $9.72 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.680 | $6.61 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.885 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Daniel Jones play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.820 | $13.62 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.329 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | sell | 21.31 | $0.874 | $18.62 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Yes | buy | 21.31 | $0.740 | $15.77 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 92.5 | $0.171 | $15.77 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 92.5 | $0.160 | $14.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | sell | 75.17 | $0.197 | $14.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.17 | $0.239 | $17.98 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 12.97 | $0.915 | $11.87 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.280 | $6.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 9.64 | $0.650 | $6.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.640 | $3.91 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.905 | $3.91 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.65 | $0.540 | $5.21 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.905 | $5.21 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.460 | $1.14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.944 | $1.14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.907 | $20.91 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.87 | $0.700 | $20.91 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.943 | $1.15 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.87 | $0.670 | $20.01 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 277.28 | $0.072 | $20.01 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.28 | $0.092 | $25.51 | Jan 12, 2026 |