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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 284.09 | $0.880 | $248.58 | -$1.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | 20d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 277.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $206.94 |
| +$6.94 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 196.08 | $0.510 | $102.94 | +$2.94 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.965 | $98.55 | +$2.05 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 102.65 | $0.350 | $35.41 | -$0.57 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 32.36 | $0.309 | $27.59 | +$17.59 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20.6 | +$0.6 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 44.12 | $0.680 | $6.4 | -$23.6 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 93.75 | $0.160 | $5.3 | -$9.7 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 136.99 | $0.073 | $4.18 | -$5.82 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 8.58 | $0.340 | $0.82 | -$2.1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.01 | -$1.99 |
| buy |
| 277.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $200 |
| 20d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 284.09 | $0.880 | $250 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | 20d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 265.96 | $0.188 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Morocco be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 84.33 | $0.059 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 32.36 | $0.592 | $19.16 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | buy | 230.76 | $0.810 | $186.92 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | May 21, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.680 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | May 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.073 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 64.72 | $0.309 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 50.63 | $0.900 | $45.57 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 54.79 | $0.803 | $43.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.090 | $4.28 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?Yes | buy | 18.48 | $0.271 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 79.61 | $0.251 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 474.02 | $0.880 | $417.14 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | sell | 64.86 | $0.925 | $60 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.880 | $160 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.840 | $150 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 255 | $0.940 | $239.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 64.86 | $0.854 | $55.39 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | sell | 191.48 | $0.250 | $47.95 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 417.1 | $0.961 | $400.83 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 191.49 | $0.470 | $90 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 93.9 | $0.820 | $77 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.65 | $0.740 | $1.96 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?No | sell | 40.67 | $0.946 | $38.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?No | buy | 40.67 | $0.639 | $26 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.65 | $0.351 | $50 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.830 | $11.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 65.93 | $0.964 | $63.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.250 | $20.83 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 300.47 | $0.033 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 417.1 | $0.959 | $400 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.964 | $8.97 | Feb 3, 2026 |