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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 315 | $0.955 | $306.18 | +$5.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | 18h ago |
 |
| No |
| 356.25 |
| $0.829 |
| $304.59 |
| +$9.09 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 254 | $0.984 | $251.84 | +$1.91 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 266 | $0.797 | $232.75 | +$20.69 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 376.02 | $0.700 | $217.71 | -$45.32 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 222 | $0.900 | $207.57 | +$7.77 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 206 | $0.969 | $203.53 | +$3.91 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 206 | $0.971 | $202.4 | +$2.37 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 207 | $0.966 | $202.24 | +$2.28 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 512 | $0.843 | $189.7 | -$241.83 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 192.92 | $0.873 | $174.6 | +$6.2 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | No | 182 | $0.962 | $172.17 | -$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 132 | $0.755 | $114.18 | +$14.52 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 114 | $0.880 | $103.17 | +$2.85 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | No | 104 | $0.967 | $99.22 | -$1.35 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | No | 105 | $0.950 | $96.5 | -$3.26 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 115.36 | $0.943 | $74.23 | -$34.52 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.5 | $0.868 | $63.44 | +$0.51 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 144 | $0.602 | $54 | -$32.63 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 62 | $0.810 | $53.01 | +$2.79 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.78 | $0.830 | $51.71 | +$2.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 105 | $0.532 | $47.78 | -$8.1 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 53.13 | $0.831 | $47.02 | +$2.88 |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | No | 40 | $0.975 | $39.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 39.75 | $0.805 | $36.77 | +$4.75 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.975 |
| $39 |
| 18h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.545 | $27.25 | 18h ago |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 13.34 | $0.970 | $12.94 | 18h ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?No | sell | 27 | $0.932 | $25.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 88.74 | $0.971 | $86.17 | 8d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 206 | $0.969 | $199.61 | 8d ago |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.940 | $17.95 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 158 | $0.840 | $132.72 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.15 | $0.579 | $25 | 10d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.550 | $49.5 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.707 | $84.83 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.88 | $0.706 | $26.04 | 12d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 13d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 123 | $0.810 | $99.63 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.860 | $49.88 | 22d ago |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 114 | $0.880 | $100.32 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.793 | $99.92 | 26d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 39 | $0.820 | $31.98 | 28d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.220 | $17.6 | 28d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.940 | $52.64 | 28d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 405 | $0.990 | $400.95 | 28d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.83 | $0.989 | $105.65 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.850 | $29.75 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.900 | $50.4 | 29d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.880 | $50.16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 107 | $0.944 | $101.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 146 | $0.992 | $144.83 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.974 | $49.67 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.949 | $14.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 103 | $0.978 | $100.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 165 | $0.886 | $146.27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.660 | $8.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 50.6 | $0.610 | $30.87 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 120.01 | $0.670 | $80.41 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.943 | $48.09 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.926 | $26.21 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 31.9 | $0.962 | $30.69 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 133 | $0.760 | $101.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 155 | $0.974 | $150.97 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.760 | $50.16 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 104 | $0.961 | $99.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | Jul 29, 2026 |