Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.66K | $0.943 | $3.52K | +$67.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.968 |
| $970.5 |
| +$2.87 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 937.92 | $0.818 | $820.68 | +$53.35 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 840 | $0.824 | $768.6 | +$76.6 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 406.33 | $0.925 | $375.85 | +$0 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 318.53 | $0.713 | $240.49 | +$13.28 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.390 | $14.5 | -$24.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 40 | $0.230 | $0.82 | -$8.38 |
| buy |
| 2.46K |
| $0.940 |
| $2.31K |
| 10d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 337.92 | $0.800 | $270.34 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.52 | $0.740 | $80.3 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 12d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 359.38 | $0.410 | $147.35 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 110.01 | $0.690 | $75.91 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.5 | $0.982 | $51.56 | 19d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.999 | $1.04K | 26d ago |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.975 | $975 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.999 | $1.45K | 27d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 568.15 | $0.973 | $552.81 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 185.11 | $0.970 | $179.56 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.130 | $10.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 802.92 | $0.940 | $754.74 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 284.07 | $0.997 | $283.22 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.997 | $398.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 178.55 | $0.930 | $166.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.52 | $0.990 | $25.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.990 | $792 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.880 | $528 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.11 | $0.879 | $117 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 50.99 | $0.968 | $49.36 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.987 | $1.13K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.580 | $618.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 40.87 | $0.995 | $40.67 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.67K | $0.990 | $2.64K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 500 | $0.946 | $473.16 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.999 | $99.89 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.137 | $27.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.79K | $0.992 | $4.75K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 611.62 | $0.981 | $600 | May 31, 2026 |
 Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | sell | 8.65K | $0.999 | $8.64K | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes | buy | 281.13 | $0.987 | $277.48 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 600 | $0.961 | $576.6 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 62.81 | $0.960 | $60.3 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 71.09 | $0.910 | $64.69 | May 13, 2026 |