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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 48.01 | $0.104 | $1.9 | -$3.1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 27d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 53.19 |
| $0.094 |
| $1.78 |
| -$3.22 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 23.67 | $0.211 | $1.54 | -$3.46 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 35.73 | $0.168 | $1.3 | -$4.7 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.02 | $0.100 | $0.36 | -$7.64 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 207.52 | $0.024 | $0.31 | -$4.69 |
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $1 |
| 27d ago |
 Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 8.54 | $0.265 | $2.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 8.55 | $0.234 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 9.96 | $0.502 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.325 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.04 | $0.133 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.07 | $0.019 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.224 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.152 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 43.91 | $0.180 | $7.9 | May 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.771 | $4 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets | buy | 10.98 | $0.440 | $4.83 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.090 | $0.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.200 | $3.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.020 | $0.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.024 | $0.8 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.210 | $7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 14.18 | $0.862 | $12.22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | buy | 18.78 | $0.533 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.770 | $11.67 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines | buy | 1.83 | $0.530 | $0.97 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniConnecticut Huskies | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |