Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 212.62 | $0.706 | $153.08 | +$3.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.72 | $0.470 | $9.74 | 13h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 66.97 |
| $0.732 |
| $65.63 |
| +$16.58 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 61.65 | $0.649 | $31.75 | -$8.25 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.080 | $11.88 | +$1.88 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 1K | $0.023 | $11.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | Yes | 17.06 | $0.574 | $9.94 | +$0.15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.72 | $0.470 | $9.43 | -$0.31 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $8.64 | -$1.36 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $1.72 | -$8.28 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 62.58 | $0.031 | $1.5 | -$0.44 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 46.75 | $0.040 | $0.37 | -$1.5 |
| buy |
| 46.75 |
| $0.040 |
| $1.87 |
| 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 66.95 | $0.720 | $48.2 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 133.92 | $0.732 | $98.08 | 14h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 143.94 | $0.695 | $100 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.532 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 68.68 | $0.728 | $50 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 168.85 | $0.560 | $94.56 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 168.84 | $0.580 | $97.93 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 171.71 | $0.540 | $92.72 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 171.72 | $0.570 | $97.88 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.11 | $0.089 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.26 | $0.924 | $100 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 91.09 | $0.710 | $64.67 | 9d ago |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 122.52 | $0.859 | $105.24 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 317.13 | $0.945 | $299.75 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 317.12 | $0.946 | $300 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 106.32 | $0.941 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 75.6 | $0.490 | $37.04 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 173.65 | $0.864 | $150 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 180.54 | $0.821 | $148.31 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.950 | $107.95 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 103.17 | $0.780 | $80.47 | 10d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.643 | $5.42 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?No | sell | 14.2 | $0.670 | $9.51 | 10d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.360 | $4.87 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 32.2 | $0.300 | $9.66 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.880 | $60 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 77.58 | $0.037 | $2.86 | 11d ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 17.06 | $0.574 | $9.79 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.580 | $4.89 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?No | buy | 14.22 | $0.692 | $9.84 | 11d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 31.83 | $0.060 | $1.91 | 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 88.07 | $0.865 | $76.21 | 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 58.09 | $0.854 | $49.6 | 11d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 91.09 | $0.549 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 62.58 | $0.031 | $1.94 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.52 | $0.816 | $100 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75.6 | $0.650 | $49.14 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | 15d ago |