Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 4.35 | $0.977 | $4.25 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.977 | $4.25 | 2d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 4.27 |
| $0.937 |
| $4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.976 | $4.07 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.958 | $4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.979 | $2.22 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.956 | $1.66 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.953 | $1.66 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.993 | $4.08 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No | sell | 4.3 | $0.950 | $4.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.932 | $4.01 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will StandX launch a token by March 31?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.988 | $4.01 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will StandX launch a token by March 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.978 | $3.98 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.880 | $3.98 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.998 | $4.52 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.999 | $4.52 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?No | sell | 4.58 | $0.986 | $4.52 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.994 | $4.56 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | sell | 4.58 | $0.996 | $4.56 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | buy | 4.59 | $0.988 | $4.53 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.990 | $3.49 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.998 | $15.59 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.981 | $4.02 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Megaquake in January?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.950 | $4.71 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.981 | $4.26 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.997 | $2.16 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Megaquake in November?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.998 | $3.4 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.991 | $1.68 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 0.92 | $0.997 | $0.92 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 22.55K | $0.001 | $22.55 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.998 | $1.65 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will another driver win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.985 | $0.71 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.997 | $3.19K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.998 | $3.19K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.997 | $3.19K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 20, 2024 |
 September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?No | buy | 0.84 | $0.982 | $0.82 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.998 | $1.74 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 903.24 | $0.996 | $899.63 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 903.24 | $0.997 | $900.53 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 906.67 | $0.989 | $896.7 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 906.67 | $0.990 | $897.6 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 901.21 | $0.996 | $897.61 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 901.21 | $0.997 | $898.51 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | sell | 901.21 | $0.997 | $898.51 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 901.21 | $0.998 | $899.41 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 902.12 | $0.997 | $899.41 | Oct 5, 2024 |