Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 499.93 | $0.957 | $480.18 | +$1.75 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.860 |
| $177 |
| +$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $169 | +$9 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.750 | $46.75 | +$9.25 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 35.41 | $0.660 | $30.1 | +$6.73 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.016 | $18 | +$2 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 500 | $0.100 | $13.25 | -$36.75 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.025 | $12.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.020 | $12 | -$8 |
| buy |
| 59.99 |
| $0.866 |
| $51.95 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.870 | $22.56 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 400 | $0.880 | $352 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 700 | $0.950 | $665 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 149.85 | $0.980 | $146.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 479.63 | $0.998 | $478.57 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 169.83 | $0.990 | $168.08 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 88 | $0.802 | $70.58 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.975 | $195 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 45.04 | $0.950 | $42.79 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.949 | $94.9 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.960 | $480 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 290.98 | $0.859 | $250 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 90.36 | $0.830 | $75 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 985.48 | $0.203 | $200 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.950 | $6.59 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.950 | $75 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?No | buy | 414.04 | $0.983 | $406.91 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 497.85 | $0.971 | $483.41 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.067 | $100 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.200 | $3.6 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 141.49 | $0.212 | $30 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No | buy | 42.98 | $0.900 | $38.68 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "democracy" at debate?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | sell | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | sell | 29.86 | $0.320 | $9.56 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 197.62 | $0.280 | $55.33 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 94.65 | $0.528 | $50 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Hezbollah enters Israel in August?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Aug 4, 2024 |