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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Shrek 5 be delayed? | No | 10 | $0.730 | $8.75 | +$1.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 36.23 |
| $0.259 |
| $5.25 |
| -$4.15 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 4.99 | $0.870 | $4.71 | +$0.37 |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next? | No | 5 | $0.730 | $4.62 | +$0.97 |
 Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | No | 10 | $0.550 | $4.45 | -$1.05 |
 Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | Yes | 11.98 | $0.091 | $4.43 | +$3.34 |
 Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.210 | $4.35 | +$3.3 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.9 | $0.613 | $4.16 | +$1.16 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $3.2 | +$2.2 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 19.69 | $0.154 | $2.36 | -$0.68 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 2.77 | $0.721 | $2.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.81 | $0.135 | $2.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 20.33 | $0.153 | $2.34 | -$0.78 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.229 | $2.29 | +$1.15 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.65 | $0.490 | $2.2 | +$0.9 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 2.24 | $0.895 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 27.7 | $0.036 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.410 | $1.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 7.99 | $0.250 | $1.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 9.01 | $0.111 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.350 |
| $4.2 |
| 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.398 | $4.78 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "Graffiti" this week?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.710 | $4.12 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Milk" this week?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.300 | $3.6 | 12d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 11.97 | $0.380 | $4.55 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.530 | $6.36 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Droneport" this week?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.360 | $1.99 | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 8.63 | $0.750 | $6.47 | 19d ago |
| New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20? | buy | 3.65 | $0.264 | $0.96 | 19d ago |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 11 | $0.091 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 19?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.623 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 24d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 25d ago |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Trump say "Future President" in August?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | 26d ago |
| Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | buy | 11.98 | $0.091 | $1.09 | 27d ago |
 Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be 360k or more?No | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.128 | $1.54 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?No | buy | 12 | $0.440 | $5.28 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.180 | $0.51 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?No | buy | 12 | $0.110 | $1.32 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.370 | $4.44 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.700 | $8.4 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 29d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.890 | $6.35 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 29d ago |
 Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?No | sell | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 29d ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 11.92 | $0.632 | $7.53 | 29d ago |