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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 31 | $0.992 | $30.99 | +$0.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.853 | $37.53 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 45 |
| $0.600 |
| $29.03 |
| +$2.03 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 26.99 | $0.820 | $23.35 | +$1.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.660 | $14.5 | +$1.3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15 | $0.820 | $13.13 | +$0.83 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9 | +$2 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 15 | $0.570 | $8.48 | -$0.08 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | $0.370 | $2.17 | -$3.38 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 101 | $0.017 | $0.15 | -$1.57 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.958 |
| $38.32 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 35 | $0.968 | $33.88 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.983 | $34.41 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.995 | $5.17 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.48 | $0.996 | $6.45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.017 | $1.72 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.790 | $27.65 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.984 | $39.36 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.971 | $37.87 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. SunsSuns | buy | 6.51 | $0.760 | $4.95 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.870 | $5.6 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.069 | $0.02 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.976 | $19.52 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.008 | $1.58 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 13.85 | $0.927 | $12.84 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.991 | $0.27 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.916 | $15 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 12 | $0.950 | $11.4 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 75.5 | $0.200 | $15.1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 30.47 | $0.886 | $27 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.718 | $10.77 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.46 | $0.459 | $25 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 105 | $0.947 | $99.43 | May 28, 2025 |
 Circle IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.922 | $47.02 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.099 | $5.05 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | May 18, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.551 | $28.1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.004 | $12 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.670 | $10.05 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.004 | $16 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.004 | $6 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.700 | $25 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Nov 27, 2024 |