Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.560 | $3.68 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 9.16 |
| $0.450 |
| $4.12 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 9.41 | $0.460 | $4.33 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.180 | $1.13 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.860 | $5.21 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.44 | $0.450 | $3.8 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | 7d ago |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | sell | 6.37 | $0.880 | $5.61 | 7d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No | sell | 6.27 | $0.933 | $5.85 | 7d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.951 | $5.77 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 21d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 19?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.730 | $2.39 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.540 | $2.09 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.560 | $2.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.720 | $1.46 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.499 | $4.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 24, 2026 |