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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.995 | $1.25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.33 |
| $0.986 |
| $2.3 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.982 | $1.17 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.970 | $2.3 | May 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.93K | $0.997 | $8.9K | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.93K | $0.998 | $8.91K | May 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | sell | 8.94K | $0.999 | $8.94K | May 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | buy | 8.95K | $0.999 | $8.94K | May 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.992 | $2.14 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.986 | $4.57 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.982 | $1.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.952 | $2.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.999 | $10.3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.964 | $3.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.998 | $5.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.989 | $1.77 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.959 | $1.74 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.950 | $1.8 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.964 | $1.7 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.940 | $1.4 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.967 | $1.15 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 16?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.957 | $3.5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3900 on September 10?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.990 | $98.01 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3900 on September 10?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.999 | $1.45K | Sep 10, 2025 |
Ethereum above $4100 on September 10?Yes | buy | 4.62K | $0.920 | $4.25K | Sep 8, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3600 on August 29?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.974 | $2.4 | Aug 28, 2025 |