Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 8.69 | $0.570 | $7.99 | +$3.04 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.770 | $4.42 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 8.13 |
| $0.610 |
| $6.42 |
| +$1.46 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 6.59 | $0.730 | $5.94 | +$1.13 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.84 | +$0.84 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.770 | $5.57 | +$0.89 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.07 | $0.810 | $5.25 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.33 | $0.830 | $5.16 | -$0.09 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.63 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.61 | $0.580 | $4.43 | -$0.56 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.440 | $4.43 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.77 | $0.440 | $4.34 | +$0.48 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.19 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.620 | $3.09 | -$1.21 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.400 | $2.81 | -$0.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 5.74 | $0.770 | $2.78 | -$1.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.220 | $2.21 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.230 | $1.71 | +$0.33 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.500 | $1.57 | -$3.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.560 | $1.37 | -$0.31 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.230 | $1.19 | -$0.29 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.540 | $1.15 | -$3.8 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.66 | $0.260 | $0.7 | -$1.03 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.45 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 3.28 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.31 |
| 25d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 28d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Down | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 19.84 | $0.252 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.499 | $2.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.501 | $4.59 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.520 | $4.68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.292 | $3.82 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.740 | $4.38 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will General Motors say "SUV" 5+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.710 | $4.97 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 13, 2026 |