Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.14K | $0.726 | $7.93K | -$890.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 15h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.83K |
| $0.551 |
| $2.42K |
| -$4.09K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.39K | $0.690 | $2.3K | -$2.11K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.34K | $0.820 | $1.07K | -$33.57 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 684.75 | $0.890 | $599.16 | -$10.17 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 750 | $0.820 | $543.75 | -$71.25 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 800 | $0.650 | $448 | -$72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.835 | $334 | +$0.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.767 | $211.5 | +$19.81 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.73K | $0.068 | $172.68 | -$147.79 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 394.99 | $0.633 | $169.85 | -$80.35 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.773 | $151 | -$3.63 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 100 | $0.940 | $99.85 | +$5.85 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 90.72 | $0.945 | $86.37 | +$0.64 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.724 | $35 | -$109.87 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 199.98 | $0.381 | $34 | -$42.24 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 251.25 | $0.225 | $21.36 | -$35.28 |
 Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $12.88 | +$9.35 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $11.63 | +$8.1 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $11.38 | +$7.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 500 | $0.200 | $10 | -$90 |
 Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 5.25K | $0.002 | $7.87 | -$2.62 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $7 | +$3.48 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $5.5 | +$1.98 |
 Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.014 | $4 | +$0.48 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.012 |
| $1.18 |
| 15h ago |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | 15h ago |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.007 | $1.71 | 15h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.498 | $44.81 | 15h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.017 | $24.83 | 15h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.668 | $26.71 | 16h ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 666 | $0.890 | $592.74 | 16h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 600 | $0.820 | $492 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.34K | $0.820 | $1.1K | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.88K | $0.180 | $2.14K | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 279.52 | $0.958 | $267.79 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.720 | $1.34 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | 7d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.490 | $245 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.706 | $282.4 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.959 | $47.95 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.808 | $404 | 27d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.910 | $81.9 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 90.71 | $0.952 | $86.36 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.996 | $19.93 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 80 | $0.995 | $79.6 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.87 | $0.120 | $11.98 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.730 | $58.4 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $69.99 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.77 | $0.130 | $1.79 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.75 | $0.139 | $6.91 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.786 | $314.4 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.785 | $392.69 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 497.18 | $0.750 | $372.89 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.785 | $392.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.176 | $44 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.435 | $10.86 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.163 | $65.17 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.163 | $6.52 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.961 | $672.7 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 120.31 | $0.960 | $115.49 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.490 | $931 | Aug 11, 2026 |