Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2K | $0.500 | $1.51K | +$514.49 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.82K | $0.740 | $2.09K | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 579.22 |
| $0.996 |
| $578.93 |
| +$2.03 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2K | $0.500 | $484.52 | -$514.49 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 200 | $0.710 | $143 | +$1 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 211.49 | $0.408 | $33.52 | -$52.81 |
| buy |
| 479.22 |
| $0.996 |
| $477.3 |
| 5d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 254.71 | $0.025 | $6.28 | 10d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No | sell | 86.99 | $0.998 | $86.82 | 11d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 512.6 | $0.990 | $507.47 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.101 | $102.88 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | sell | 105.79 | $0.210 | $22.22 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 800 | $0.612 | $489.82 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.398 | $1.12K | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.3 | $0.838 | $103.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No | buy | 27 | $0.930 | $25.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 800.8 | $0.999 | $800 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 502.51 | $0.995 | $500 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.999 | $2.28K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.993 | $2.98K | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | buy | 82.08 | $0.891 | $73.14 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Empire State couple charged by July 4?Yes | buy | 275.11 | $0.928 | $255.32 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?Yes | buy | 49.51 | $0.906 | $44.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 426.26 | $0.150 | $63.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.999 | $6K | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.980 | $2.27K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.979 | $1.17K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.980 | $28 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.037 | $18.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.980 | $1K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.979 | $1.47K | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 101.16 | $0.150 | $15.17 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.050 | $2.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 88.09 | $0.999 | $88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 877.43 | $0.526 | $461.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.868 | $26.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 258.31 | $0.301 | $77.75 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 151.79 | $0.329 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 106.53 | $0.282 | $30 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes | sell | 524.65 | $0.094 | $49.22 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes | buy | 61.65 | $0.330 | $20.34 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes | buy | 336.14 | $0.319 | $107.33 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes | buy | 126.86 | $0.300 | $38.06 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 100.23 | $0.844 | $84.6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.947 | $473.97 | May 12, 2026 |