Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.31 | +$1.31 |
 Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.7 |
| $0.730 |
| $8.77 |
| -$1.23 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 10.59 | $0.661 | $7.78 | +$0.78 |
 Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 7.4 | $0.811 | $6.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $6.66 | +$1.66 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $6.42 | +$1.42 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.31 | +$1.31 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.29 | +$1.29 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.750 | $6.24 | +$1.24 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.06 | +$1.06 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 6.19 | $0.808 | $5.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.69 | +$0.69 |
 Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.66 | +$0.66 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
 3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch? | No | 13.34 | $0.749 | $4.21 | -$5.79 |
 Will Gavin Adler win the 2026 PLL Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $4.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $3.12 | -$1.88 |
 Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $3.02 | -$1.98 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 14.21 | $0.704 | $2.98 | -$7.02 |
 Will Milva die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $2.98 | -$2.02 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.300 | $2.65 | +$1.65 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.76 | $0.740 | $2.64 | -$2.36 |
 Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.44 | $0.777 | $2.38 | -$2.62 |
| buy |
| 6.76 |
| $0.740 |
| $5 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?70k | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.773 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.795 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| 3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| 3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Zoom Q1 online average monthly churn rate be at least 3.0%?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Milva die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be above 6.5%?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Cherlynn Stevenson be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in more than 6 days?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.844 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Television" or "TV" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Yair Rodriguez fight Arnold Allen next?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Yair Rodriguez fight Arnold Allen next?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5Over 5.5 | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the NYT front page headlines say "Abortion" this week?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |