Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 20.44 | $0.500 | $10.22 | Jul 12, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 20.12 |
| $0.510 |
| $10.26 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.677 | $10.49 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.880 | $1.32 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ETDown | buy | 1.31K | $0.500 | $655.29 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14.23K | $0.001 | $14.23 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14.34 | $0.992 | $14.23 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14.34 | $0.992 | $14.23 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 14.27 | $0.997 | $14.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.28 | $0.998 | $14.25 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 14.29 | $0.997 | $14.25 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.999 | $14.28 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.33 | $0.997 | $14.29 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.33 | $0.999 | $14.32 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 14.43 | $0.992 | $14.31 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.993 | $14.33 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14.39 | $0.996 | $14.33 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.997 | $14.35 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.998 | $14.35 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 14.38 | $0.999 | $14.37 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.92 | $0.450 | $6.26 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 13.92 | $0.540 | $7.52 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.54 | $0.997 | $14.5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.998 | $14.51 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 14.57 | $0.996 | $14.51 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.998 | $14.55 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.59 | $0.997 | $14.55 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.6 | $0.998 | $14.57 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.6 | $0.998 | $14.57 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.6 | $0.999 | $14.59 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.64 | $0.997 | $14.6 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.999 | $14.62 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 14.61 | $0.999 | $14.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | sell | 14.65 | $0.997 | $14.61 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 14.66 | $0.998 | $14.63 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 14.65 | $0.998 | $14.62 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.999 | $14.64 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 14.69 | $0.997 | $14.65 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.998 | $14.67 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 14.73 | $0.996 | $14.67 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 14.73 | $0.999 | $14.72 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 14.74 | $0.998 | $14.71 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.999 | $14.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 14.79 | $0.996 | $14.73 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 14.79 | $0.997 | $14.75 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | sell | 14.83 | $0.995 | $14.76 | Jul 8, 2025 |