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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 6.09 | $0.700 | $3.99 | -$0.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 0.19 |
| $0.700 |
| $0.13 |
| -$0 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.903 |
| $5.42 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.439 | $2.63 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.933 | $5.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.440 | $2.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.961 | $5.77 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.493 | $2.96 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?No | sell | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.790 | $4.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 6 | $0.938 | $5.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.940 | $5.71 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No | sell | 6 | $0.908 | $5.45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.210 | $1.27 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.920 | $5.58 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.790 | $4.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.060 | $0.36 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.920 | $5.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.925 | $5.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.961 | $5.77 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.900 | $5.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.771 | $4.68 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.775 | $4.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.873 | $5.24 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?No | sell | 6 | $0.990 | $5.94 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.757 | $4.62 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.799 | $4.86 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.460 | $2.76 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.810 | $4.92 | Jul 20, 2026 |