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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.180 |
| $10 |
| Jun 26, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?No | buy | 80.69 | $0.130 | $10.49 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 15?No | buy | 250.25 | $0.040 | $10 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.528 | $0.81 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.506 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.140 | $6 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 401 | $0.005 | $2 | May 31, 2025 |
Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 502.86 | $0.350 | $176 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | May 10, 2025 |