Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 6.2 |
| $0.985 |
| $6.11 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 129.44 | $0.018 | $2.33 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.993 | $9.15 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 220.7 | $0.440 | $97.11 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 108.03 | $0.991 | $107.06 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.26 | $0.986 | $85.05 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 18.27 | $0.985 | $18 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 88.7 | $0.997 | $88.43 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 88.7 | $0.998 | $88.52 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 83.61 | $0.997 | $83.36 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 83.62 | $0.998 | $83.45 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 91.84 | $0.996 | $91.47 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 91.85 | $0.997 | $91.57 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 78.61 | $0.995 | $78.22 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 78.61 | $0.996 | $78.3 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.994 | $11.99 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 103.24 | $0.995 | $102.72 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 103.24 | $0.996 | $102.83 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 82.06 | $0.996 | $81.73 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 82.07 | $0.997 | $81.82 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.999 | $13.68 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 74.21 | $0.991 | $73.54 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 74.21 | $0.992 | $73.62 | May 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.999 | $16.57 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 74.31 | $0.995 | $73.94 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 74.31 | $0.995 | $73.94 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.989 | $3.97 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 81.37 | $0.998 | $81.21 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 81.37 | $0.999 | $81.29 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.996 | $2.31 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.997 | $4.16 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 72.39 | $0.997 | $72.17 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 80.06 | $0.996 | $79.74 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will PDP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.999 | $2.89 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 80.06 | $0.998 | $79.9 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.983 | $18.57 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.999 | $6.74 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 2?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.999 | $20.39 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 40.88 | $0.997 | $40.76 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.996 | $12.45 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 40.88 | $0.998 | $40.8 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 37.79 | $0.999 | $37.75 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 48.06 | $0.999 | $48.01 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 36.08 | $0.997 | $35.97 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.997 | $1.95 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 18–25?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.999 | $5.28 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 36.08 | $0.998 | $36.01 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 48.07 | $0.999 | $48.02 | Apr 20, 2025 |