Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.35 | $0.306 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 164.56 |
| $0.122 |
| $20 |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | sell | 92.69 | $0.012 | $1.11 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | sell | 512.95 | $0.014 | $6.95 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | sell | 566.29 | $0.014 | $8.09 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.024 | $35.14 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 512.95 | $0.019 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 658.98 | $0.030 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.034 | $50 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | sell | 305.95 | $0.966 | $295.55 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | buy | 305.95 | $0.981 | $300 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.008 | $1.78 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.870 | $4.07 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.510 | $5.79 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.184 | $11.47 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | sell | 340.73 | $0.016 | $5.47 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | sell | 371.79 | $0.100 | $37.33 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 340.73 | $0.029 | $10 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionNo | buy | 54.21 | $0.184 | $10 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla before September 16 ET?Yes | buy | 23.49 | $0.043 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET?Yes | buy | 21.35 | $0.234 | $5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.810 | $10.51 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 French confidence vote fails?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 70.4 | $0.142 | $10 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |