Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 499.27 | $0.200 | $15.48 | -$84.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.500 | $90 | Mar 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 499.27 |
| $0.200 |
| $100 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 40.23 | $0.249 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 3.64K | $0.002 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?No | buy | 568.42 | $0.018 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?Yes | buy | 435.69 | $0.459 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.965 | $48.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 257.14 | $0.964 | $247.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 30.55 | $0.984 | $30.07 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.999 | $48.33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.360 | $11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 100.09 | $0.060 | $6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 257.14 | $0.070 | $18 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | sell | 99.09 | $0.240 | $23.78 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 98.68 | $0.151 | $14.88 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 30.51 | $0.320 | $9.76 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 299.99 | $0.010 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 199.99 | $0.010 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 99.98 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.010 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | buy | 487.34 | $0.041 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.23K | $0.002 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |