Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Yes | buy | 28.79 | $0.238 | $6.86 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.33 |
| $0.730 |
| $6.08 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?No | buy | 509.41 | $0.008 | $4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.037 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.750 | $10.71 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.051 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 324?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |